Trump Leads in New Mo Scout Poll
December 21, 2015

A new poll shows Republican front runner Donald Trump is also leading in Missouri.

The survey, in the political newsletter, the Missouri Scout, gives Trump a 10 point lead over his closest rival, Texas Senator Ted Cruz.

The poll gives Trump a 33-23 edge over Cruz.

A report in the Kansas City Star points out that Trump not only leads statewide in the survey, but in each of Missouri’s eight congressional districts

That is key because Missouri divides up its convention delegates along Congressional District lines.

The Star reports that Trump leads crus by just one point in the 7th Congressional District in southwestern Missouri.

Crus trails Trump by four points in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District.

Cruz’, campaign manager is Jeff Rose of Kansas City.

Roe is also a close political advisor to Missouri 6th District Congressman Sam Graves.

It is likely those close-home ties will have Roe pushing for a strong Missouri effort by Cruz during the March 15, 2016 Missouri primary.

Sam Graves Endorses Ted Cruz
December 8, 2015

North Missouri Congressman Sam Graves has endorsed Ted Cruz’ presidential campaign.

“”I have personally seen Ted Cruz stand up and fight on the issues that matter the most to conservatives, even when it wasn’t popular in Congress,” said Graves in a Cruz csampaign news release.

Graves’ endorsement is not much of a surprise.

His long-time political advisor, Jeff Roe is now Cruz’ campaign manager.

The late fall has been a pretty good period for Cruz.

His numbers in Iowa, which has its caucus on Feb. 1., have been growing.

One poll from Monmouth University has Cruz leading in Iowa, with 24%.

A CNN poll, however has Donald Trump continuing to leading in Iowa with 33% of the vote. Cruz places second in that survey with 20% of the support.

Clinton Campaigns in St Louis
June 23, 2015

ST. LOUIS (AP) — Hillary Rodham Clinton is putting America’s struggle with race relations at the forefront of her presidential campaign, joining with church members near the epicenter of violent protests in Ferguson, Missouri, as the nation grapples with the deadly shootings of nine black church members in South Carolina.

The leading Democratic presidential contender plans to attend a community meeting Tuesday at a church in Florissant, Missouri, a short drive from the site of the unrest in Ferguson after the August death of Michael Brown, a black, unarmed 18-year-old, who was shot by white Ferguson police officer Darren Wilson. Brown’s death spurred outrage and led to a national “Black Lives Matter” movement demanding changes in how police deal with minorities.

Clinton largely avoided giving race relations a prominent role in her 2008 Democratic campaign against Barack Obama, who was vying to become the nation’s first black president at the time. Yet the former secretary of state has leaned into a number of issues closely watched by African-Americans this time, discussing the need to change the criminal justice system, improving access to voting and helping minority small business owners.

Clinton’s campaign hopes to mobilize black voters in large numbers in the 2016 election, building upon the coalition of minority, young and liberal voters who powered Obama’s two White House campaigns. The message has taken fresh urgency since last week’s church massacre in Charleston, South Carolina, which happened shortly after Clinton campaigned in the city.

“This is a time for people in the public domain and the public square to speak what they believe, not give us political talk,” said Marc Morial, the president of the National Urban League, whose organization has called for the removal of public displays of the Confederate flag. “This tragedy is a time when we get to test their convictions.”

Poll: Hillary Trails 3 GOP Contenders in Missouri
February 20, 2015

The likely Democratic presidential nominee in 2016 would face a hard time in Missouri with three top GOP contenders, according to a new survey.
A Remington Research Poll shows former Secretary of State, Democrat Hillary Clinton, losing to Jeb Bush, or Scott Walker or Rand Paul in head-to-head match ups with likely Missouri voters.
957 likely voters were questioned with a margin of error of 3.2%
The question: if the election were held today, who would you vote vote?
Here are the match ups:

Jeb Bush 50%
Hillary Clinton 40%
Undecided 10%

Scott Walker 48%
Hillary Clinton 40%
Undecided 9%

Rand Paul 47%
Hillary Clinton 42%
Undecided 11

“It Ain’t Me Babe,” Romney Passes On 2016
January 30, 2015

National Journal:
Everyone’s running until they’re not. That’s the biggest takeaway from Mitt Romney’s announcement to supporters Friday, and it’s the single thing that makes presidential news so difficult to parse this time of year.

— Romney’s announcement today that he would stand aside to let a new GOP leader emerge in 2016 caps a three-week news whirlwind surrounding the 2012 nominee, which included numerous details about donor signups, staff being retained, and local leaders being called — in short, exactly the sort of things one does before running for president. They are exactly the sort of things many of the other presumed candidates are doing right now, too.

— Yet Romney won’t pull the trigger. But he clearly wanted to be in the position of being able to go for his party’s nomination instead of having a lack of preparation, rather than a lack of desire, be what kept him out. And it seems unlikely that Romney will be the only person to go through those motions but still pull back in 2015. As we’ve noted before, the same thing happened with Haley Barbour in 2011.

— As far as what Romney’s exit from the 2016 scene means: It certainly precludes a titanic primary clash of dynastic GOP “establishment” figures with Jeb Bush. But even if that won’t divide their wing of the party, there’s still an issue to consider, which is that the GOP has become more of a blue-collar party in every recent year. There may not be as much space as there once was in Republicans’ traditional power center.

Romney passing on 2016 is a fitting end to a January full of news about him and Bush, which no one would have expected months ago. But he’s unlikely to be the last presidential candidate to take a pass this year.